Andrew Zammit-Mangion & Michael Dewar 
Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data [PDF ebook] 

Supporto

This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions.
The book also demonstrates the methods on the Wiki Leaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.

€53.49
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Tabella dei contenuti

Conflict Data Sets and Point Patterns.- Theory.- Modelling and Prediction in Conflict: Afghanistan.

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Lingua Inglese ● Formato PDF ● Pagine 74 ● ISBN 9783319010380 ● Dimensione 2.2 MB ● Casa editrice Springer International Publishing ● Città Cham ● Paese CH ● Pubblicato 2013 ● Scaricabile 24 mesi ● Moneta EUR ● ID 5232816 ● Protezione dalla copia DRM sociale

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