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Winfried Schröder & Gunther Schmidt
Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections [PDF ebook]
A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

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Copertina di Winfried Schröder & Gunther Schmidt: Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections (PDF)

This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, Wett Reg) for the countrywide study.

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Tabella dei contenuti

1. Background and Goals.- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony.- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany.- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.

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Lingua Inglese ● Formato PDF ● Pagine 58 ● ISBN 9783319038230 ● Dimensione 2.8 MB ● Casa editrice Springer International Publishing ● Città Cham ● Paese CH ● Pubblicato 2013 ● Scaricabile 24 mesi ● Moneta EUR ● ID 2930924 ● Protezione dalla copia DRM sociale

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