J. Jackson 
Energy Budgets at Risk (EBaR) [PDF ebook] 
A Risk Management Approach to Energy Purchase and Efficiency Choices

Preface.
Chapter 1. Energy Markets and Budgets at Risk.
Recent Price Increases.
Applying Risk Management to Energy Budgets.
Energy Budgets At Risk Workshops.
An Overview of Energy Budgets at risk (EBa R).
A Look Back At Energy Prices.
A Look Forward: Energy Demand And Supply Factors.
Energy Price Forecasts.
Going Green – The Critical Role Of Efficiency
Investments.
EBa R as A Policy Option.
Summary.
Chapter 2. Facilities Efficiency Options.
Facility Energy Management.
Efficiency Options.
Calculating Cost And Savings.
Summary.
Chapter 3. The Nature Of Energy Costs And Prices.
Energy Price Overview.
Electric Costs And Rates.
Deregulated Electric Markets.
End-Use Costs.
Incentives To Reduce Energy Use.
Financing Energy Efficiency Investments.
Summary.
Chapter 4. Capital Budgeting: Theory and Practice.
NPV and IRR Analysis.
Real Options – When Procrastination Pays.
Capital Budgeting in Practice.
Summary.
Chapter 5. Energy Facility Risk Management
Foundations.
Capital Budgeting and Risk Management.
A Brief History Of Financial Risk Analysis (Var).
Applying a Var Approach to Energy Facility Risk Management.
Prognosis.
Summary.
Chapter 6. EBa R Concepts and Results.
Energy Budgets At Risk (Ebar) Overview.
Ebar Management Presentations.
Summary.
Chapter 7. Beginning Empirical EBa R Analysis: Risk and
Probability Distributions.
Energy Risk.
Probability Distribution Fundamentals.
Extracting Information From Probability Distributions.
Applying Distributions With Monte Carlo Analysis.
Energybudgetsatrisk.com.
Summary.
Chapter 8. EBa R Implementation – Developing Quantitative
Relationships.
EBa R Analysis Steps.
Analysis Complexity.
Budget Variable Identification.
Budget Variable Analysis.
Distribution Development
Summary.
Chapter 9. EBa R Budget Analysis
(EBa RBudget).
Monte Carlo analysis Framework.
Evaluations and Assessment.
Summary.
Chapter 10. EBa R Energy Efficiency Investment
(EBa RIRR).
Solving the Efficiency Investment Problem.
Case Study Efficiency Investment Options.
Representing Investment Analysis Uncertainty.
Case Study Efficiency Investment Analysis Results.
Risk Tolerance And Decision Rules.
Summary.
Chapter 11. Energy Budgets at Risk in Competitive
Markets.
Competitive Energy Suppliers.
Pricing/Efficiency Misconceptions in Competitive Markets.
EBa R Simultaneous Pricing and Efficiency Investment Choice.
Summary.
Chapter 12. EBa R Reports.
EBa R Budget and Investment Analysis: Austin Office Building,
January 20, 2008.
Executive Summary: Office Building, January 20, 2008.
Additional Report Information.
Appendix A.
Notes.
Index.

Jerry Jackson is an energy economist and Texas A&M professor
with thirty years’ experience in developing and applying practical
solutions to difficult energy industry problems. As owner and
President of the consulting firm, Jackson Associates, he has worked
with more than one hundred clients, including more than twenty
Fortune 500 companies, start-up companies, electric and gas
utilities, state agencies, research labs, and the U.S. Department
of Energy. Jackson has served as an expert witness at government
hearings. He recently presented a keynote address at an
international sustainability conference in New Zealand, and he has
also served as a U.S. representative to a United Nations conference
on energy modeling. Jackson has a Ph D in economics from the
University of Florida with a specialty in econometrics.