The Heretics of Finance provides extraordinaryinsight into both the art of technical analysis and the characterof the successful trader. Distinguished MIT professor Andrew W. Loand researcher Jasmina Hasahodzic interviewed thirteen highlysuccessful, award-winning market professionals who credit theirsubstantial achievements to technical analysis. The result isthe story of technical analysis in the words of the people who knowit best; the lively and candid interviews with these gurus oftechnical analysis.
The first half of the book focuses on the technicians’ careers:
* How and why they learned technical analysis
* What market conditions increase their chances of makingmistakes
* What their average workday is like
* To what extent trading controls their lives
* Whether they work on their own or with a team
* How their style of technical analysis is unique
The second half concentrates on technical analysis and addressesquestions such as these:
* Did the lack of validation by academics ever cause you to doubttechnical analysis?
* Can technical analysis be applied to other disciplines?
* How do you prove the validity of the method?
* How has computer software influenced the craft?
* What is the role of luck in technical analysis?
* Are there laws that underlie market action?
* What traits characterize a highly successful trader?
* How do you test patterns before you start using them with realmoney?
Interviewees include:
Ralph J. Acampora, Laszlo Birinyi, Walter Deemer, Paul Desmond, Gail Dudack, Robert J. Farrell, Ian Mc Avity, John Murphy, Robert Prechter, Linda Raschke, Alan R. Shaw, Anthony Tabell, Stan Weinstein.
Cuprins
Preface.
Acknowledgments.
Introduction.
1 Ralph J. Acampora.
2 Laszlo Birinyi.
3 Walter Deemer.
4 Paul Desmond.
5 Gail Dudack.
6 Robert J. Farrell.
7 Ian Mc Avity.
8 John Murphy.
9 Robert Prechter.
10 Linda Raschke.
11 Alan R. Shaw.
12 Anthony Tabell.
13 Stan Weinstein.
14 Conviction: Countering the Skeptics and the Scoundrels.
The validity of technical analysis.
Acceptance by academics.
Sustaining confidence while sustaining losses.
Literature versus experience.
Hard and fast rules and proven theories.
Wider applications for technical analysis.
Proving the validity of technical analysis.
15 The Evolution of Technical Analysis.
Evolution of the craft.
New indicators and patterns.
Computer software and the craft.
Computer-generated signals.
Hand-drawn charts.
16 Luck, Astrology, and Other Unsanctioned Signs.
The role of luck in technical analysis.
Astrology and the credibility of the craft.
Elliott wave, Gann’s postulates, and Fibonacci numbers.
17 Creativity, Talent, and the Art of the Craft.
The Role of Creativity.
A talent for technical analysis.
Personality traits of the highly successful.
Hard work and dedication.
Analysis as art.
18 The Challenge of Emotions.
Losing money.
Emotional interference.
Separating emotions from the work.
19 The Path to Success.
Artificial intelligence.
The key to success.
20 Favorite Patterns and Indicators.
Most and least reliable indicator.
Testing.
The effect of market conditions.
Indicative versus descript.
References.
Index.
Despre autor
Andrew W. Lo is the Harris & Harris Group Professor of Finance at the MIT Sloan School of Managementand the director of MIT’s Laboratory for Financial Engineering. His previous books include The Econometrics of Financial Markets, A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street, and Hedge Funds: An Analytic Perspective. He is also thefounder and chief scientific officer of Alpha Simplex Group, LLC, aquantitative investment management company based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Jasmina Hasanhodzic is a researchscientist at Alpha Simplex Group, LLC, where she developsquantitative investment strategies and benchmarks, including the CS130/30 Index. She received her Ph D from MIT’s Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, where she proposed newmethods for automating technical analysis and replicating hedgefund betas. Her work has appeared in the Journal Of Investment Management and Institutional Investor’s Alphamagazine. A summa cum laude graduate of Yale College, Hasanhodzicis a recipient of a number of awards for academic excellence and amember of several honor societies, such as Sigma Xi, the Scientific Research Society.
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