This book analyzes both local and national House and Senate campaigns in the 2022 midterm elections to reveal how distinctive campaign dynamics have a collective national impact. Despite serious efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential race that went mostly unopposed by Republicans, the GOP is poised to gain seats, and perhaps control of Congress less than two years later. Their efforts to accomplish this feat may be explained by the biannual pattern of surging and declining partisan electorates that political scientists have long used to explain election outcomes. But in an era where global pandemic lingers, inflation hit its highest rate in two generations, Wall Street faces its first bear market in more than a decade, war among developed nations has returned to the international stage, and efforts by a former President to maintain his grip on a party that lost the 2020 popular vote by 9 million proved largely successful, the story is clearly more complicated. The2022 midterms thus arrive on the heels of unprecedented developments for democracy in America. The Roads to Congress 2022 provides an essential guide to understanding these developments, with thematic chapters authored by more than thirty experts in campaigns and elections that explore the evolving state of party politics, electoral governance, redistricting, participation and representation, and profile the key races of the season.
Содержание
Part I: Introduction.- Chapter 1: An Overview of the 2022 Midterm Elections.- Part II: Primaries and Party Dynamics.- Chapter 2: The Fate of Pro-Impeachment Republicans/Trump Endorses.- Chapter 3: God Talk or Trump Talk: Trump Congressional Endorsees and Partisan Signals.- Chapter 4: Resisting the Wave: Examining Co-partisan Coattail Effects Between the Senate and House 1958-2022.- Part III: Governing Elections.- Chapter 5: Redistricting for the 2022 Election.- Chapter 6: The Maiden Voyage of Michigan’s Redistricting Commission: Winners and Losers.- Chapter 7: Don’t Leave Me Hanging: Twenty Years of Florida Elections Post HAVA.- Part IV: Participation and Representation.- Chapter 8: The Impact of Legislative Retirements on Congressional Diversity.- Chapter 9: Voter Turnout: Motivations and Electoral Implications.- Chapter 10: Campaign Donations and Surrogate Representation.- Chapter 11: New Perspectives on Partisanship, Electoral Competition, and Campaign Finance Behavior in congressional Elections.- Part IV: On the Trail: Key Campaigns in 2022.- Chapter 12: Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District: Does Redistricting Matter?.- Chapter 13: Three of a Kind: Iowa’s Unique Congressional Competitiveness.- Chapter 14: 2022 New Hampshire U.S. Senate Race.- Chapter 15: 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate Race: A Test of Ohio’s Redness and National Political Role.- Chapter 16: 2022 U.S. Nevada Senate Race: The Effects of in-migration and the Rise of Nonpartisan Voters in a Swing State.- Chapter 17: 2022 U.S. Georgia Senate Race.- Chapter 18: 2022 Pennsylvania U.S. Senate Race: They Keystone State becomes the Key to a Senate Majority.- Part VI: Conclusion.- Chapter 19: Lessons Learned: A Look Back and the Road Ahead.
Об авторе
Sean D. Foreman is Professor of Political Science at Barry University, USA.
Marcia L. Godwin is Professor of Public Administration at the University of La Verne, USA.
Walter Clark Wilson is Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Texas at San Antonio, USA.
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