Banking on Growth Models contends that China’s rapid economic rise from the late 1970s to today has been built on and shaped by a highly politicized and inefficient bank-centric financial system . Stephen Bell and Hui Feng argue that if the Chinese growth model drives how key economic sectors interact, no amount of incremental reform can have much impact on the financial system—meaningful reform can stem only from a revised growth model.
For a time after the global financial crisis, it appeared that the expansion of a more market-oriented shadow banking system might help sustain China’s economic growth. Since around 2015, however, Xi Jinping’s regime has reversed this trajectory and placed China’s financial system under heavy state control, resulting in slowed economic development and skyrocketing national debt. China’s market transition and economic rebalancing are now in doubt, as is the fate of the nation’s economy. By pinpointing finance as a vital element of the growth model, Bell and Feng provide a convincing assessment of financial risks and the prospects for economic rebalancing in China.
Banking on Growth Models demystifies the world of Chinese banking and finance as it investigates an ever-rising national debt, a declining rate of economic growth, and the possibility of dire and drastic reform by the Asian superpower’s government.
Table of Content
Introduction
1. Interactions Between China’s Growth Model and the Financial System
2. Interests, Ideas, Institutions and the Politics of Banking and Economic Reform in China
3. Growth Model Reform and the Banks as the State’s Cashier, 1979-96
4. Quick Fix Banking Reforms after the Asian Crisis, 1997-2002
5. Further Banking Reforms, 2003-8
6. The GFC and State Capitalism on Steroids
7. The GFC Critical Juncture and the Rise of Shadow Banking
8. Shadow Banking After the GFC
9. The Politics of Banking Regulation and Reform
10. Mounting Debt and Lurking Risks
11. China’s Troubled Road to Economic Rebalancing
Conclusion
About the author
Stephen Bell is Professor of Political Economy in the School of Political Science and International Studies at the University of Queensland. He is the coauthor of Masters of the Universe, Slaves of the Market; Rethinking Governance; and The Rise of the People’s Bank of China.Hui Feng is Senior Research Fellow at the Griffith Asia Institute and Senior Lecturer at the School of Government and International Relations, Griffith University. He has published in Political Studies and Review of International Political Economy and is the coauthor of The Rise of the People’s Bank of China. Follow him on X @fenghui272.
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