This volume highlights Israel’s 1999 elections, in which the prime-ministerial race between incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu and Ehud Barak ended with Barak winning by the biggest landslide ever in Israel. Although some observers interpreted these results as a fundamental shift in public opinion, there is little evidence to support this. The book shows how old patterns funneled into a new system of voting produced the 1999 results, where a weak candidate (Barak) bested a wounded prime minister (Netanyahu) abandoned by most of his political allies. Leading social scientists from Israeli and American universities, using a variety of approaches and coming from diverse intellectual traditions, address topics including the emergence of political blocs, strategic voting, and split ticket voting. In addition to major party performance, special interest parties—who did better than ever in 1999—are also discussed, such as the haredi, ultra-orthodox, non-Zionist Shas, the anti-haredi secular Shinui, two parties appealing to former Soviet émigrés and Arab parties.
สารบัญ
Introduction
Part I. Voting Behavior
1. Candidates, Parties, and Blocs
Asher Arian and Michal Shamir
2. Were Voters Strategic?
Paul R. Abramson and John H. Aldrich
3. Split-ticket Voting in the 1996 and 1999 Elections
Dana Arieli-Horowitz
4. Social Cleavages among non-Arab Voters: A New Analysis
Michael Shalev with Sigal Kis
Part II. Groups
5. The Continuing Electoral Success of Shas: A Cultural Division of Labor Analysis
Yoav Peled
6. Israel as an Ethnic State: The Arab Vote
As’ad Ghanem and Sarah Ozacky-Lazar
7. The Russian Revolution in Israeli Politics
Zvi Gitelman and Ken Goldstein
Part III. Political Parties and the Election Campaign
8. The Triumph of Polarization
Daphna Canetti, Howard L. Frant, and Ami Pedahzur
9. Barak, OneOne Israel, Zero, Or, How Labor Won the Prime Ministerial Race and Lost the Knesset Elections
Gideon Doron
10. The Likud’s Campaign and the Headwaters of Defeat
Jonathan Mendilow
11. The Appearance of the Center Party in the 1999 Elections
Nathan Yanai
12. Candidate Selection in a Sea of Changes: Unsuccessfully Trying to Adapt?
Gideon Rahat
13. Struggles Over the Electoral Agenda: The Elections of 1996 and 1999 269
Gabriel Weimann and Gadi Wolfsfeld
Contributors
Index
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Asher Arian is Distinguished Professor of Political Science at the Graduate Center of the City University of New York, a Senior Research Fellow at the Israel Democracy Institute, and Professor of Political Science at the University of Haifa.
Michal Shamir is Professor of Political Science at Tel Aviv University.
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