Jeffrey C. Bauer 
Upgrading Leadership’s Crystal Ball [PDF ebook] 
Five Reasons Why Forecasting Must Replace Predicting and How to Make the Strategic Change in Business and Public Policy

Clearly, concisely, and with many examples from public and private enterprise, Upgrading Leadership’s Crystal Ball shows why predictions are usually wrong and presents a better way to look at the future forecasting. This book is essential-reading for anyone who needs to make the best possible strategic decisions for moving an organization forward i