Yazar: Dan Gardner

Der Psychologe und Politikwissenschaftler Philip Tetlock gibt in seinem leichtverständlichen Wissenschafts-Sachbuch ›Superforecasting. Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose‹ eine Anleitung für …

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From one of the world’s most highly regarded social scientists comes a seminal book on forecasting that shows, for the first time, how we can all get better at making predictions. In …

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For fans of Blink, The Tipping Point, and Freakonomics, here is a brilliant, funny, and accessible exploration of our flawed quest for certainty.In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a …

We are the safest humans who ever lived – the statistics prove it. And yet the media tells a different story with its warnings and scare stories. How is it possible that anxiety has become the stuff …

In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in …

The international bestseller’A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.’ Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow_________________________What if we could improve our …

Cu toții am avea de câștigat dacă am putea vedea în viitor, fie că este vorba de bursă, de politică, de lansarea unor produse sau, pur şi simplu, de planificarea unui meniu săptămânal. Din păcate, su …

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Captain James Campbell is on the wagon these days. He is the head of an elite team of Vampire hunters and he picked the perfect time to quit drinking.Luther Crowley doesn’t have that problem, he …

Megaprojektexperte Bent Flyvbjerg und Bestsellerautor Dan Gardner verraten die Geheimnisse erfolgreicher Planung und Umsetzung ambitionierter Projekte jeder Größenordnung.  Der Bau- / Architektur- / …