The first international handbook to bring the areas of reasoning, judgment and decision making together, now in paperback format.
The book brings three of the important topics of thinkingtogether – reasoning, judgment and decision making a?? anddiscusses key issues in each area. The studies described range fromthose that are purely laboratory based to those that involveexperts making real world judgments, in areas such as medical andlegal decision making and political and economic forecasting.
* International collection of original chapters by leadingresearchers in the field
* Several chapters contain important new theoreticalperspectives
* Paperback version is more affordable for individualresearchers
Mục lục
List of Contributors.
Introduction.
Part I: Reasoning.
Chapter 1: A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking (Jonathan St. B.T.
Evans, David E. Over and Simon J. Handley).
Chapter 2: Individual Differences in the Development of
Reasoning Strategies (Maxwell J. Roberts and Elizabeth J.
Newton).
Chapter 3: Generalising Individual Differences and Strategies
Across Different Deductive Reasoning Domains (Padraic Monaghan and
Keith Stenning).
Chapter 4: Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals
(Neil Fairley and Ken Manktelow).
Chapter 5: Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning (Guy
Politzer).
Chapter 6: Probabilities and Pragmatics in Conditional
Inference: Suppression and Order Effects (Mike Oaksford and Nick
Chater).
Part II: Judgment.
Chapter 7: Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability
(Karl Halvor Teigen and Wibecke Brun).
Chapter 8: Possibilities and Probabilities (Paolo Legrenzi,
Vittorio Girotto, Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Philip N.
Johnson-Laird).
Chapter 9: The Partitive Conditional Probability (Laura
Macchi).
Chapter 10: Naive and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequencies
to Fast and Frugal Decision Trees (Laura Martignon, Oliver Vitouch,
Masanori Takezawa and Malcolm R. Forster).
Chapter 11: More is not Always Better: The Benefits of Cognitive
Limits (Ralph Hertwig and Peter M. Todd).
Chapter 12: Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good
Judgment in World Politics (Philip E. Tetlock).
Part III: Decision Making.
Chapter 13: Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in Strategic
Decision Making (A. John Maule, Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Nicola J.
Bown).
Chapter 14: Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty
(Craig R. Fox and Kelly E. See).
Chapter 15: Medical Decision Scripts: Combining Cognitive
Scripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for Medical
Decision Making (Robert M. Hamm).
Chapter 16: On the Assessment of Decision Quality:
Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability
(Gideon Keren and W¨andi Bruine de Bruin).
Author Index.
Subject Index.
Giới thiệu về tác giả
Edited by Dr David Hardman, London Metropolitan University, UK and Professor Laura Macchi, University of Milan-Bicocca, Italy.
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