Deborah J. Rumsey 
Probability For Dummies [PDF ebook] 

Introduction 1
Part I: The Certainty of Uncertainty: Probability Basics 7
Chapter 1: The Probability in Everyday Life 9
Chapter 2: Coming to Terms with Probability 19
Chapter 3: Picturing Probability: Venn Diagrams, Tree Diagrams, and Bayes’ Theorem 39
Part II: Counting on Probability and Betting to Win 65
Chapter 4: Setting the Contingency Table with Probabilities 67
Chapter 5: Applying Counting Rules with Combinations and Permutations 77
Chapter 6: Against All Odds: Probability in Gaming 103
Part III: From A to Binomial: Basic Probability Models 129
Chapter 7: Probability Distribution Basics 131
Chapter 8: Juggling Success and Failure with the Binomial Distribution 151
Chapter 9: The Normal (but Never Dull) Distribution 167
Chapter 10: Approximating a Binomial with a Normal Distribution 187
Chapter 11: Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem 201
Chapter 12: Investigating and Making Decisions with Probability 221
Part IV: Taking It Up a Notch: Advanced Probability Models 233
Chapter 13: Working with the Poisson (a Nonpoisonous) Distribution 235
Chapter 14: Covering All the Angles of the Geometric Distribution 251
Chapter 15: Making a Positive out of the Negative Binomial Distribution 261
Chapter 16: Remaining Calm about the Hypergeometric Distribution 273
Part V: For the Hotshots: Continuous Probability Models 283
Chapter 17: Staying in Line with the Continuous Uniform Distribution 285
Chapter 18: The Exponential (and Its Relationship to Poisson) Exposed 299
Part VI: The Part of Tens 311
Chapter 19: Ten Steps to a Better Probability Grade 313
Chapter 20: Top Ten (Plus One) Probability Mistakes 323
Appendix: Tables for Your Reference 333
Index 343

Deborah Rumsey has a Ph D in Statistics from The Ohio State University (1993). Upon graduating, she joined the faculty in the Department of Statistics at Kansas State University, where she won the distinguished Presidential Teaching Award and earned tenure and promotion in 1998. In 2000, she returned to Ohio State and is now a Statistics Education Specialist/Auxiliary Faculty Member for the Department of Statistics. Dr. Rumsey has served on the American Statistical Association’s Statistics Education Executive Committee and is the Editor of the Teaching Bits section of the Journal of Statistics Education. She’s the author of the books Statistics For Dummies and Statistics Workbook For Dummies (Wiley). She also has published many papers and given many professional presentations on the subject of Statistics Education. Her particular research interests are curriculum materials development, teacher training and support, and immersive learning environments. Her passions, besides teaching, include her family, fishing, bird watching, driving a new Kubota tractor on the family ‘farm, ‘ and Ohio State Buckeye football (not necessarily in that order).