Ten lessons from history on the dos and don’ts of analyzing political risk
Our baffling new multipolar world grows ever more complex, desperately calling for new ways of thinking, particularly when it comes to political risk. To Dare More Boldly provides those ways, telling the story of the rise of political risk analysis, both as a discipline and a lucrative high-stakes industry that guides the strategic decisions of corporations and governments around the world. It assesses why recent predictions have gone so wrong and boldly puts forward ten analytical commandments that can stand the test of time.
Written by one of the field’s leading practitioners, this incisive book derives these indelible rules of the game from a wide-ranging and entertaining survey of world history. John Hulsman looks at examples as seemingly unconnected as the ancient Greeks and Romans, the Third Crusade, the Italian Renaissance, America’s founders, Napoleon, the Battle of Gettysburg, the British Empire, the Kaiser’s Germany, the breakup of the Beatles, Charles Manson, and Deng Xiaoping’s China. Hulsman makes sense of yesterday’s world, and in doing so provides an invaluable conceptual tool kit for navigating today’s.
To Dare More Boldly creatively explains why political risk analysis is vital for business and political leaders alike, and authoritatively establishes the analytical rules of thumb that practitioners need to do it effectively.
关于作者
John C. Hulsman is president of John C. Hulsman Enterprises, a prominent global political-risk consulting firm. His books includeEthical Realism: A Vision for America’s Role in the World (Pantheon),
The Godfather Doctrine: A Foreign Policy Parable (Princeton), and
To Begin the World Over Again: Lawrence of Arabia from Damascus to Baghdad (St. Martin’s). He lives in Milan, Italy.
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